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dick morris a side on his website, most pollsters are weighing their dat toont assumption that the twift electorate will turn out in the same proportion as the 2008 voters did but polling indicates a distant lack of enthusiasm for the president among his core constituency. so let's talk about that cnn contributor will cane ling is right and roland martin is here. why -- are you lafgt samuel l. jackson? >> oh, my gosh, sam is the man. first of all if you don't follow him on twitter, you need to.>> . first of all if you don't follow him on twitter, you need to. some people will say, oh, my god, it's the language. guess how much money r-rated films make all the time and we know his rants in "pulp fiction" and "shaft" as well w why not have shaft get people excited about voting? way to go sam. >> give me your critique of samuel l. jackson's ad? >> my film critique. rolling on a three-second delay here? i do get the same liberties that samuel l. jackson takes? >> no. >> try it. try it. >> no. >> should i try it? no. whatever. it's fine. i mean, it's funny. i think we take polit
to it. >> dick morris is saying, yeah, president obama maybe leading among minorities and young people but those people traditionally don't get out to vote and really not that excited about president obama anyway. so is dick morris right, will? >> dick morris has a point. first of all, i hate talking about polls and i know roland does as well, because a, i hate the idea that politicians are constantly checking polls and adjusting their message. b, i hate trying to interpret these things as though i have a crystal ball. i know this, carl, a lot of the polls coming out, heard the topic du jour this week, some think the main street polls are skewed because what they're showing is a larger democratic turnout than the historic democratic turnout in 2008. in 2008, on the cusp of an historic election, first black president to, you know, about to be elected, you had an amazing turnout among minorities and youth vote. what the polls today are showing, projecting a larger turnout than that, a little bit of a stretch, a little harder to stomach in a downed economy, so i'm very skeptical you will
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
. we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >> tim burke, let me ask you about the economics of hamilton county. how was it doing? what is the unemployment rate, and what impact will that have on overall results in november? >> let me speak to ohio in general, as alex just did. i think the reason president obama is doing so well -- the biggest one may be the of the rescue. 750,000 jobs in ohio -- many right here in southwest ohio -- depend on the auto industry. the fact that has come back as strongly as it has has ohio doing better than the national economy is doing. just yesterday we had president obama here. the individual who introduced him came
Search Results 0 to 4 of about 5